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China to be world’s biggest EV market by 2015?

Published October 7, 2011

In 2018 China Car Times was acquired by Autowise. This article originally appeared on ChinaCarTimes.com.

According to American consultancy company, Pikes Research, China will be the worlds largest EV market by 2015. Theoretically, it could be, but real world conditions indicate that for China to become the worlds largest EV market in the next three years they are going to have to do a lot of ground work on building the necessary infrastructure and educating the consumer on whats best for them. Trying to push Chinas sub 100 million car owners over to electric power is obviously going to take a long time, but Chinas major fleet owners such as the government and military complex might make the switch earlier, still, three years to become the worlds largest? Maybe not.

Across the Asia Pacific region, various national-level initiatives and programs are underway to promote the awareness and adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), including the establishment of aggressive goals, subsidies for EV purchasers, research and development support, tax incentives, and public education programs. In certain markets, particularly Japan, these efforts have already borne fruit. Market players in Japan and Korea, however, are concerned about new challengers, mainly driven by competition in China. The Chinese EV market has critically important implications for global market participants. According to a recent report from Pike Research, China will be the leading market for EVs in Asia Pacific by 2015. The cleantech market intelligence firm believes that the Chinese market will represent almost half of the regions total sales by 2015.

China, where around 55 vendors are developing electrified vehicles or launching EV development programs, will likely create and lead an entirely new category around clean transportation, says senior analyst Andy Bae. The country will become one of the biggest consumer markets for EVs, and global industry players want to enter this market to tap the related opportunities.

Driven by rising prices for imported oil and a determination to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, China is making a major push to develop new energy vehicles, propelled by electricity, hydrogen, and clean diesel fuel. The country has one of the most extensive automobile industries in the world, with over 150 finished auto manufacturers. In contrast to Japan, where plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) will continue to be the largest category of EVs, Chinas central government has placed a strong emphasis on battery electric vehicles. Considering that the market for hybrid EVs is already led by Japanese manufacturers, Chinas focus on pure EVs could help drive that segment of the overall market. There is plenty of room for growth: while Japans relatively mature EV market will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of less than 10% between 2010 and 2015, the Chinese market will display a CAGR of more than 40% over that period.

Pike Researchs report, Electric Vehicles in Asia Pacific, provides a comprehensive examination of electric vehicles, charging equipment technologies, advanced battery research, government incentives and regulations, and key drivers of market growth in the Asia Pacific region. The study includes detailed analysis of new vehicle introductions, manufacturer strategies, and forecasts through 2015 for electrified vehicles, charging stations, and advanced vehicle batteries. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the firms website.

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